Jeff Reisig’s office, California District Attorney just completed a study on the comparative impacts of court-ordered Zero Bail ($0 Bail) over a 13 month period in my county.

The results were staggering. Zero bail releases resulted in 163% more crime and 200% more violent crime when compared to arrestees who were released after posting bail for similar crimes. As a result of Zero Bail policies, more victims were murdered, shot, robbed, assaulted, and beaten. This study is the first of its kind in California. https://lnkd.in/gKkWB9K2

Very interesting and I was only made aware of it by this post! I wanted to use the opportunity to practice my statistical analysis literacy and looked into the link you provided which led to 2 studies that showed, yes zero bail release was a potential factor in rearrest.
But I noticed that they didn’t compare the crime rate overall during Covid (therefore, during the zero bail policy) with pre-Covid crime rates; that might sound like a nitpick but to put it another way the studies lacked a control group.
Looking for more complete data I found that crime during Covid substantially decreased compared to the control years (2014-2016). This meant that regardless of the increase in rearrest, crime overall dropped. Pretrial detention significantly dropped obviously- translating to less tax payer money being spent on detaining yet-to-be-tried (by definition, innocent) jail inmates.
There’s a 2017 study I saw that longer pretrial detention in individuals later found not guilty correlated with life long increased risk of that individual being a habitual offender.
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Very good points
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